Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.028830 0.031062 0.033397 0.036023 0.038900 0.041958 0.045460
2025-02-02 0.025514 0.028734 0.032282 0.036497 0.041384 0.046893 0.053601
2025-02-09 0.022839 0.026572 0.030850 0.036143 0.042554 0.050117 0.059784
2025-02-16 0.020943 0.025012 0.029823 0.035977 0.043706 0.053176 0.065792
2025-02-23 0.019380 0.023657 0.028849 0.035683 0.044535 0.055746 0.071232
2025-03-02 0.018205 0.022655 0.028187 0.035653 0.045600 0.058582 0.077121
2025-03-09 0.017004 0.021517 0.027242 0.035143 0.045930 0.060392 0.081675
2025-03-16 0.015889 0.020406 0.026242 0.034457 0.045927 0.061683 0.085518
2025-03-23 0.015037 0.019583 0.025556 0.034127 0.046350 0.063538 0.090247
2025-03-30 0.014278 0.018835 0.024920 0.033804 0.046730 0.065315 0.094938
2025-04-06 0.013477 0.017985 0.024088 0.033142 0.046555 0.066233 0.098338
2025-04-13 0.013081 0.017670 0.023978 0.033495 0.047870 0.069425 0.105500
2025-04-20 0.012576 0.017182 0.023602 0.033444 0.048586 0.071763 0.111514
2025-04-27 0.012244 0.016922 0.023538 0.033847 0.050009 0.075288 0.119763
2025-05-04 0.011726 0.016368 0.023014 0.033516 0.050254 0.076928 0.124926
2025-05-11 0.011297 0.015921 0.022624 0.033363 0.050759 0.079006 0.130990
2025-05-18 0.010866 0.015454 0.022179 0.033094 0.051049 0.080725 0.136529
2025-05-25 0.010527 0.015107 0.021899 0.033067 0.051725 0.083127 0.143491
2025-06-01 0.010100 0.014611 0.021365 0.032600 0.051629 0.084173 0.147978
2025-06-08 0.009662 0.014078 0.020752 0.031973 0.051220 0.084630 0.151351
2025-06-15 0.009326 0.013691 0.020350 0.031671 0.051349 0.086045 0.156698
2025-06-22 0.009010 0.013324 0.019964 0.031376 0.051468 0.087440 0.162103
2025-06-29 0.008644 0.012863 0.019411 0.030770 0.050997 0.087705 0.165205